Dash I/O at Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joseph Schelling

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grant Grisham (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ajay Patel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jason Perez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Vincel Cordry

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Allen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dustin Douglass (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs BRAD ALLRED (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Erick Boeder (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs James Mangles (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.67
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Timothy Bunn

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sophia Sondericker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Broussard (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Simon Aguirre (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Talon Bradshaw

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Parker Brown (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ashton Lynch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.