Bravo, Showstopper
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Hughes (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Brummett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Samuels (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Long Dao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Maddux Warren (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
31st • 8-3-1
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Christ (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Mound (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Lee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Draw |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
40th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Ramsey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
45th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Van Zuiden (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Lee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Reed (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
48th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Perez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Ramsey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Win vs Elly Bird (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cody Williams (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
51st • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Bell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Sones (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Pearce (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timothy Bunn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marvin Dominguez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
52nd • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Beam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Gohl (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Micah Luff (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elly Bird (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jarrett Bolwahnn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Maddux Warren (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 6-4-0
40%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Lancaster (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs carolina alvarado (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jared Blondeau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charles Curry (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Boudreaux (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Richards (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
40% (4/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Casey Walker (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Max Mosier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Devin Jackson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Win vs carolina alvarado (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Warnek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Ramsey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Sacriste (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs JP Coleman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shane Martin (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keenan Lonell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Flores (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Casey Dugan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Fagalde (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Hughes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs benjamin slenczka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Shaffer (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Micah Luff (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rogelio Marroquin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Levi Zinkhon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Grant Grisham (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Braden Wooldridge (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Ellis (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dustin Douglass (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Baxley (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Tran (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Hughes (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Madison McDown (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jarron Idleman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austen Stolte (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keenan Lonell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Conway (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Sexton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ty Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devin Jackson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Scott Payne (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Aucoin Jr (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Hughes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Lancaster (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs joseph Ramirez (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Curry (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Sims (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Cole (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Micah Luff (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Nixon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Moore (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marvin Dominguez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Casey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Round 7: Win vs Darren Buono (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Trevino (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Samuels (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Lee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JD Daclison (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Denton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Barnes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Thiele (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Ty Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Hankins (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Ramirez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Graham (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Dunbar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Ramsey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Greg Hanson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayden Reed (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Bell (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Nelson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
17%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Wainwright (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rodel Rodea (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Koutsos (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Tamayo (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs joseph Ramirez (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kirk Huber (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Hughes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Sneed (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hyunjun Jeon (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Salazar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austen Stolte (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devin Jackson (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Murray (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Lee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Thao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs carolina alvarado (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keenan Lonell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Murray (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Butler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Salazar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Thiele (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Warnek (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rodrigo Martinez (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Holden Rowe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxwell Mitchell (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.