Kano, Dracai of Aether
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.6
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Ford (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs William Garrison (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jake Ausdemore (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 9: Win vs Isaak Krut (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jayson Jacks (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Hughes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Guinn (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
100:0
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dillon Anderson (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Summer Giles (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Boudreaux (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Long Dao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Hughes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mykel Kramer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hyunjun Jeon (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zoey (Zuppy) Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Win vs Robert Salazar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grant Grisham (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Casey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Chwaliszewski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Guinn (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jessica Born (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hailey Abbott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Summer Giles (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Garrison (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Robinson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Ramsey (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Reed (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.