Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Austin Somers

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Levi Zinkhon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Skylar Surguy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs benjamin slenczka (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs JP Coleman (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.19
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.32
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ethan Beam

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Richards (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Sexton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Griffin Murray (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Lee (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kalon Stephens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	25%	Win	✗	0.77	0.61
R3	CC	Lexi, Livewire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Michael Dirksen

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stewart Mcgirt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Simon Aguirre (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mike DeNicola (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Parker Brown (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.