Viserai, Rune Blood at Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023
Viserai, Rune Blood
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey White (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Desautels (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sophia Sondericker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Sexton (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 27:73
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Salazar (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
Round 7: Win vs Salvatore Calderone (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Beck (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Perez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 43:57
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
5:95
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Allen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max Mosier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Parker Brown (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 27:73
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Avery Hill (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Gilbert (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Wright (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rogelio Marroquin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62
5:95
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Juan Flores (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ty Hicks (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Zoey (Zuppy) Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Garner (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
5:95
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Ford (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 5% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.