Calling: Dallas-Fort Worth 2023 - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

tyler kent

dropped • 0-7-0

57%

Meta

-3.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Hernandez (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ajay Patel (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tony Cooley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sophia Sondericker (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 15:85

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kalon Stephens (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Frank Sangoy (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Hughes (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	15%	Loss	✗	0.15	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Jason Pfanenstiel

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Clinton Jeffers (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs ray lahann (Unknown)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Umar Babar

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Mender (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jarron Idleman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.21
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.