Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stuart Clark (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Zyggy Starlight
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon MacDonald (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pietro Saccarini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Adshead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Ward (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Smith (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Denk (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Callum Hancock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Puffin, Hightail
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jay Malone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Berry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Douglas (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Timpson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Johnson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Dash I/O
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Puffin, Hightail
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
dropped 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Puffin, Hightail
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nate Wood (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28
Zyggy Starlight
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon MacDonald (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Morgan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
Valda, Seismic Impact
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Damon Elgie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!!
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel McPhail (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Smith (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Ward (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wallace Pate (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 77:23
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brecht D'hondt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fraser Wallace (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Callum Hancock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 56:44
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Dash I/O
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lewis Reid (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70
Katsu, the Wanderer
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 56:44
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Dash I/O
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Bambrick (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Callum Birkett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Eilidh Devine (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.