Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ximun LASTIRI

20th • 8-3-0

55%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.1

Surp

4.5

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 22:78

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Luke Alcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Finn Macdonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Richard Carr (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dan York (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Christian Agosto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.32
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.36
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.77
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.78
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.39
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.42

Lucas Ward

21st • 8-3-0

82%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

5.4

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connor Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Winning (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 48:52

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.21
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.39
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.17
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.58
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.38
R10	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.96
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Daniel Mckinlay

37th • 6-5-0

64%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

5.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Akers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Heilling (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.21
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.26
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.25
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.50
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Adam West

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Luke Alcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Krstic (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs James Clark (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.22
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.55
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Finn Macdonald

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Louise Roberts (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.28
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.16

Connor McGrath

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jack Timpson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dan York (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jay Malone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Declan Patrick (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Callum Birkett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.52
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Irvine

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connor McLaughlin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sybren Dewulf (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs George Douglas (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.38
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

David Leigh

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aden Walker (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eilidh Devine (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Callum Birkett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.07
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.31
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jack Warren

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.63
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Nathan Rhoden

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Reichhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.