Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

31st 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Cooke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jack Green (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Heilling (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Emilia Miele (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 70:30
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Huntsman
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Taylor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 37:63
Puffin, Hightail
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Callum Goddard (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs anthony blakeman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Heilling (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Puffin, Hightail
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henry Cooke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Linnea Söderlund (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Damon Elgie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Watt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 70:30
dropped 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Jarl Vetreiði
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
dropped 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Howard (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Jarl Vetreiði
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Höflmair (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 90:10
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Thoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Puffin, Hightail
!!
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry Cooke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lewis Reid (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Pringle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Huntsman
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Adshead (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Clark (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.