Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Edinburgh 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sandy Fisher (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damon Elgie (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor McLaughlin (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Craig Canning (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Alan Lynch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Cabrelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jack Johnson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.