Aurora, Legacy of Tempest at Calling: Edinburgh 2026
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Thoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Finn Labe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Josh Keys (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Leigh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 23:77
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Linnea Söderlund (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Denk (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Lee (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shai Edginton (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nate Wood (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
0:100
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 0:100
Round 4: Win vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aden Walker (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 0% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carl Boyle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
0:100
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 0:100
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 0% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.