Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 20:80
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Strother (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Morgan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jay Malone (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
dropped 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pietro Saccarini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aden Walker (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.