Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lewis Reid

dropped • 1-6-0

29%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Song (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Luke Alcock (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 16:84

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jack Timpson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Lynch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs James Pringle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jack Green

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Harbinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joseph Taylor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.59
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.44
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Daniel McPhail

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Adam Collins (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.38

Brodie Smith

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leo Reichl (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alwart Nijveld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Thomas Kidd

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Léo Dupraz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sandy Fisher (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 16:84

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Watt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Adam Strother

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lillie Cutler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Valtteri Kurhela

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sandy Fisher (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 16:84

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.