Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Edinburgh 2026 — FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sebastiaan Knetsch

43rd • 6-5-0

73%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs George Douglas (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mario Donoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

80:20

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.28
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.33
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.57
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.31
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Alexander Heilling

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

90:10

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs George Callaghan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 88:12

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Warre Sevens (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tommy Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mihai Zorila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Craig Canning (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.03
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Alexander Reichhart

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Irvine (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Rhoden (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gordon Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Iain Brown (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39

Dash I/O

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.88
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.62
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Hamilton Wexler

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rhys Francis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

Fai, Rising Rebellion

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Henderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henry Cooke (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 53:47

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Blakeman (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.52
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Benjamin Atkinson

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Green (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Neseyif-Deakin (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.