Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Jarl Vetreiði

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pablo Pintor

5th • 9-3-0

50%

Meta

+3.6

Perf

6.0

Surp

5.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ross Yule (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Win	✗	0.79	0.19
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.66
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.31
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.90
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.89
R12	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Thomas Harle

12th • 8-3-0

45%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.0

Surp

4.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Callum Hancock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shai Edginton (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Davis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Gavin Caldwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Heilling (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.17
R3	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.49
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.44
R8	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.32
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.89
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.99
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

James Gray

27th • 7-4-0

64%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Byron Chatzis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs James Pringle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hamilton Wexler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Spencer Baker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.29
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.29
R5	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.47
R7	CC	Zyggy Starlight	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.58
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.88
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Joel Rencen

44th • 6-5-0

64%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

4.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rebecca Leyden (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sandy Fisher (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.08
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.46
R5	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.20
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.62
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Dan York

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Connor McGrath (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Pietro Saccarini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.19
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.50
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.69
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

Gavin Caldwell

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ilya Pokusaev (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 21:79

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Richard Lythe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Liam Blakeman (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.15
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.43
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Machi C

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nate Wood (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Otso Somerla (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Simon MacDonald (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Finn Baird (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Zyggy Starlight	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.77
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Ben Potter

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joseph Taylor (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Ward (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jorge Hernández (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 18:82

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Wouter Ouwehand (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Zyggy Starlight	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Rhys Francis

dropped • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hamilton Wexler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Radoslav Ogoryalkov (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Callum Birkett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Akers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Callum Hancock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.43
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Logan Newall

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Sandford (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Connor Davis

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.36
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.