Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Edinburgh 2026
Arakni, Huntsman
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 8-3-0
82%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Lythe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 10: Loss vs Léo Toulouse (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kiran Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
46th • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Daniel McPhail (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliott Chacksfield (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Sandford (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bradley Slater (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Finn Macdonald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Callum Birkett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tom Ward (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Bruno Vale Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rhys Francis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brecht D'hondt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Kaiser (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Clark (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Duncan Macbeth (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Young (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Warre Sevens (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Denis Gergov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Berry (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Howard (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wallace Pate (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan York (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Carr (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Casadio (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 25:75
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam W (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 90:10
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Barry Buchanan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kaloyan Nikov (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Potter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Craig Canning (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Green (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Kidd (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Hernández (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.