Betsy, Skin in the Game at Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Betsy, Skin in the Game

Betsy, Skin in the Game

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

36th • 7-4-0

64%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Harle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Dan York (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Huntsman

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Joel Rencen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.09
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.57
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.22
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.35

39th • 6-5-0

64%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Arakni, Huntsman

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jordan Akers (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Gavin Caldwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Valda, Seismic Impact

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Huntsman

R8

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Zyggy Starlight

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.07
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.13
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.59
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Zyggy Starlight	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

Betsy, Skin in the Game

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chris Morgan (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Correas (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Warre Sevens (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

Betsy, Skin in the Game

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs anthony blakeman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs James Gray (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.56
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.25
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Linnea Söderlund

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Lythe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aden Walker (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Pleiades, Superstar

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Zyggy Starlight

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Zyggy Starlight	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

Betsy, Skin in the Game

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fraser Wallace (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Harle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael de Kok (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Sandford (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Aden Walker (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tom Ward (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.15
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eilidh Devine (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liam Canning (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chloe Whitfield (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lewis Reid (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rebecca Leyden (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Betsy, Skin in the Game

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shai Edginton (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

Kassai of the Golden Sand

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs August St.Jude (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.