Pleiades, Superstar

Pleiades, Superstar

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Watt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Finn Labe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Linnea Söderlund (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Isaac Tunstall (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.