FaB-Results

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Correas
3rd • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Graham Dow (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
Jarl Vetreiði
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winning (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mika Vainio (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastiaan Knetsch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
!!
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 80:20
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nathan Hills (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Florian Höflmair
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dash I/O
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Romain Garcin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 15:85
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Crame (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Pringle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 10:90
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Johnson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.