Dash I/O at Calling: Edinburgh 2026

Dash I/O

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Léo Toulouse

10th • 8-3-0

73%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kin Yen Lee (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Logan Newall (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Richard Lythe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sybren Dewulf (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Emilia Miele (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.35
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.25
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.57
R6	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.68
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.64
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.38
R11	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Jaap IJlst

19th • 8-3-0

82%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mario Donoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Warren (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pietro Saccarini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Christian Agosto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tom Ward (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.14
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.21
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.28
R5	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.33
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.84
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Jamie McCabe

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bradley Slater (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brecht D'hondt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arnold Baars (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Juan Chacon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.24
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.51

Romain Garcin

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Florian Höflmair (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 85:15

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carl Boyle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 32:68

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Pietro Saccarini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	85%	Win	✓	0.15	0.03
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.64
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.67
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Evan McTernan

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Barry Buchanan (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs George Callaghan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Finlay Freir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nate Wood (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Patrick Kaiser

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs anthony blakeman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Iain Brown (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel McPhail (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Kevin Bambrick

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Emilia Miele (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Sandford (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Robin Lesage

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Fernando García-casarrubios (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs David Watt (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.38

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.