Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Kidd (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Valda, Seismic Impact
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Slater (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Spencer Horton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samed Demir (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 47:53
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Cabrelli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gavin Caldwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 30:70
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51
Kassai of the Golden Sand
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.