Jarl Vetreiði
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Arno Van Breuseghem (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Salina Vaes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Draw |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
41st • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ludo sempels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kjell Lannoo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Beernaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs killian vermeer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Sébastien Mangin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Draw |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
15th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julien Desuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
52nd • 3-2-2
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Valentin Hostaux (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arno Van Breuseghem (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Jarich Deweer (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Draw |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
25th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs killian vermeer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dimitri Francois (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
34th • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sébastien Mangin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stijn Bické (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Pjotr Meyvisch (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Renzo Schietgat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 9: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jari Vincke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jordi Prins (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.