Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs ludo sempels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Huylebroeck (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordi Prins (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Draw |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.