Fai, Rising Rebellion at National Championship 2026

Fai, Rising Rebellion

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robson Dechamps

30th • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ruben Van Dessel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Toon Cilissen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bart Horré (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Quentin Van Leeckwyck (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.69
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R9	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.49
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Stijn Borkelmans

50th • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pjotr Meyvisch (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khalid Abatouy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valentin Hostaux (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Van Keymeulen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sébastien Mangin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jarich Deweer (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jordi Prins (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Florian Vanclaire

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Quentin Van Leeckwyck (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Lori Vanderhulst

dropped • 2-2-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Beernaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Rotsaert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.91
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Stijn Audenaert

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Pjotr Meyvisch (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kjell Lannoo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.