Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bart Horré (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joeri Thienpont (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kjell Lannoo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Beernaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
5th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jarich Deweer (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bart Horré (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Björn Debremaeker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
11th • 6-1-0
71%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
5.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Van der noord (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Florian Vanclaire (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Win vs Dimitri Francois (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
17th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Toon Vertommen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bart Horré (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Björn Debremaeker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
38th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Durand (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lori Vanderhulst (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Quentin Van Leeckwyck (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kjell Lannoo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lorenzo Cambon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nefra Greywulf (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quentin Van Leeckwyck (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenny De rouck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Willem Viljoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ludo sempels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Gilles De Vylder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.