National Championship 2026 - Belgium - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Joris Borkelmans

23rd • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stijn Audenaert (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Sébastien Mangin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michel Van der noord (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Salina Vaes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.50
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.21
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.90
R10	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Win	✗	0.73	2.68

Steven Vanbecelaere

53rd • 0-7-0

43%

Meta

-2.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 24:76

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jari Vincke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marijn Lybaert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kjell Lannoo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs ludo sempels (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Jarich Deweer (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Willems

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.