National Championship 2026 - Belgium - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Warre Sevens

1st • 7-3-0

80%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.7

Surp

4.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Cambon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenny De rouck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

20:80

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Julien Desuter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.09
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.72
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.65
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.89
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.98
R13	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.87

killian vermeer

39th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Salina Vaes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Thomas De Wolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sébastien Mangin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.14
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.23

Marijn Lybaert

32nd • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dimitri Francois (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Olivier Imbrechts (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gilles De Vylder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Frederick Middleton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.21
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Win	✗	0.74	2.48
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Sander Deceuninck

46th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Salina Vaes (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Stijn Bické (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.10
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.02
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Kevin Rotsaert

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gilles De Vylder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lori Vanderhulst (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.63
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Romain Lambert

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Willem Viljoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robson Dechamps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Nefra Greywulf

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Toon Cilissen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.