FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Thomas Van Minsel
27th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David De Wilde (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Koen Hendrikx (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dimi Van Edom (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bart Horré (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ruben Costers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Willem Viljoen
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Michel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Romain Lambert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sébastien Mangin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.