Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marijn Lybaert (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Kenny De rouck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 9: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gilles De Vylder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Draw |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
44th • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frederick Middleton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordi Prins (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Willem Viljoen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Draw vs Sacha Evrard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs killian vermeer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Draw |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
42nd • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stijn Bické (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Vanbecelaere (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jarich Deweer (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jason Huylebroeck (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
Round 9: Loss vs Gert Verleysen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Frederick Middleton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Willems (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Van Minsel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Costers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Cambon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas De Wolf (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.