National Championship 2026 - Belgium - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Stijn Bické

35th • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jari Vincke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Frederick Middleton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gert Verleysen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ruben Van Dessel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.03

Salina Vaes

43rd • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sébastien Spilliaert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs killian vermeer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs simon haesaerts (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.79
R8	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.63
R9	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Yannick Machiels

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs stef van oort (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Toon Vertommen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Florian Vanbrakel (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.