National Championship 2026 - Belgium - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jorgen Fleussu

5th • 5-2-1

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Sander Deceuninck (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michel Van der noord (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Robin Deceuninck (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ruben Costers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Cedric SCHAACK (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.14
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.51
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.93
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Lorenzo Cambon

40th • 3-3-1

29%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gert Verleysen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Manu Van Driessche (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Simon Daelemans (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Toon Vertommen (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ion Dhont (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Aaron Beernaert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.28
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.33
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	25%	Win	✗	0.78	1.23
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jason Huylebroeck

45th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brent Van de Staey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Valentin Hostaux (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jarich Deweer (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Van Minsel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jari Vincke (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jordi Prins (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Quentin Van Leeckwyck (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.34
R3	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.93
R10	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.