FaB-Results

Arakni, Marionette at National Championship 2026 - Japan

Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Shuto Ushiro
18th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.7
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs humiaki hattori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SHINICHI KITAHARA (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30
Puffin, Hightail
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ryuto nakagawa (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
GAICHI YAMADA
19th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 颯 小嶺 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuji Okita (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Puffin, Hightail
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Motoharu Hoso
37th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takaaki Ueno (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Dorinthea Ironsong
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Ryouichi Sakazaki
22nd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Junya Iwamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs kouji hamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
kei iikubo
40th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs kouji hamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Hazama Levi
50th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Yukitaka Inohara
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Xavier McLean
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs SHINICHI KITAHARA (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 颯 小嶺 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 直 長尾 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
Shinmura Kazuya
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kanata Ishimaru (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
Puffin, Hightail
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Motoharu Hoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
ジュン アラキ
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takaaki Ueno (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.