Kassai of the Golden Sand
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
36th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
5.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 9: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
32nd • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
11th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs hironobu watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
29th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Round 2: Win vs Motoharu Hoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shigeru Masuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Shiraishi Koki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
Round 9: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
47th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs ヤマモト ダイスケ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jyunnosuke Yamamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Motoharu Hoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Junya Iwamoto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Koki Mori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takamasa Kamei (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ryo inoue (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 直 長尾 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs hironobu watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Leverton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.