Dorinthea Ironsong
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
75%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shiraishi Koki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
35th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shigeru Masuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Koki Mori (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shiraishi Koki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
56th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Motoharu Hoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroki Goto (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RYO OZAKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Jun Sato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.