Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Yuji Okita (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 10: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
9th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 佑紀 丸田 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Mason Galvan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
13th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 直 長尾 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iada Caio (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
Round 10: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yukitaka Inohara (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 三輪 佑樹 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shigeru Masuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.