Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs naoyuki kojima (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 9: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.