Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Japan
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-1-0
70%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hironobu watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
5th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
17th • 7-0-0
71%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
5.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SHINICHI KITAHARA (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 雅仁 富山 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
12th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hazuki Mori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs yohei ohki (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
14th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masaaki Ochi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 直 長尾 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
24th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taiki Koike (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs kouji hamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs SHO YAMAUCHI (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuma Ishikura (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
31st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Ueno (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazushi Nimiya (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yohei Kurihara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
49th • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shinmura Kazuya (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
61st • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 結友 太田 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Motoharu Hoso (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ジュン アラキ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs 直 長尾 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuusuke Kiguchi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kazushi Nimiya (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tomoaki Yoshimura (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tetsuhiro Murata (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor Leverton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ikumi Miyao (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.