Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.