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1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 野原 由一 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenta Miki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.