Florian at Sunday Showdown: Prague 2026

Florian

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Victor Reis

43rd • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jason Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Patrik Koller (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.89
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.66
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Antoine Delaval

73rd • 3-5-0

38%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michal Řezníček (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Dührkop (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

100:0

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: 100:0

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Borja Apellaniz Aparicio (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Davide Giacca

76th • 3-5-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Vynnset) - Expected: 43:57

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michal Řezníček (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Turner (Vynnset) - Expected: 43:57

100:0

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs William Rao (Riptide) - Expected: 100:0

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ben Emmanuel (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Felix Schniz (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.89

Tim Greenaway

77th • 2-6-0

25%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Simone Paterniti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Adam Makowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Ipakchian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Iyslander) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kamil Krasnodębski (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dennis Ferber (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

James Thourgood

dropped • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Levente Szilágyi (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Peszlen Zoltán (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rene Gropp (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Dalinghaus (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Felix Schniz (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-

Artur Dziadosz

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Andreas Jacobsen (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs simon haesaerts (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Szabolcs Egri (Iyslander) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.71
R4	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Michał Siemiętowski

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Adrián Marín (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62

Simone Paterniti

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tim Greenaway (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michal Faldyna (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Steve BRIQUET (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

Mark Zussev

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Javier Querol (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michał Sucharski (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Moser (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Florian Krainer

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jiahao Chen (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Levente Szilágyi

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs James Thourgood (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.