Sunday Showdown: Prague 2026 - Dash (SAGE)

Dash

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Borja Apellaniz Aparicio

66th • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michal Faldyna (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Kano) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jake Screen (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Victor Reis (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Antoine Delaval (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.12
R3	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.29

Gennaro Ciampa Mango

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.69
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.77
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Moser

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jurij Di Carlo (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mark Zussev (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Christoph Munzig (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Simon Salah (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.23
R2	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.64
R4	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tino Mille

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Florian Stangassinger (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs João Mariz (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Erik Schroedter (Kano) - Expected: 71:29

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dominik Popławski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.30
R3	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.39
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Luca Scherner

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Christian Meinzer (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Petter Olsson (Briar) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.19
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.46
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Olli Saarinen

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christoph Lengauer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mikael Vedemar (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Michał Sucharski

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tomor Péter (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Zussev (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.