Sunday Showdown: Prague 2026 - Riptide (SAGE)

Riptide

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tiziano Suran

16th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eduard Cziszter (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lorenzo Salice (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Justin Kruft (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.24
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.37
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.47
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rokas Pocius

21st • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

4.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andrei Joghiu (Iyslander) - Expected: 14:86

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs René Schep (Iyslander) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Brandon Turner (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.15
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.86	1.75
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

William Rao

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Stefania Anitei (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 9:91

0:100

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Max Kesselbacher (Oldhim) - Expected: 0:100

0:100

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 0:100

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Iyslander) - Expected: 14:86

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Vaclav Muller (Fai) - Expected: 65:35

0:100

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Antoine Delaval (Florian) - Expected: 0:100

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R7	Silver Age	Florian	0%	Loss	✗	0.00	-

Tymoteusz Kliś

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ville Schalin (Iyslander) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Kayo) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kano) - Expected: 8:92

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 14:86

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Win	✗	0.86	0.56
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.08	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.