Sunday Showdown: Prague 2026 - Dromai (SAGE)

Dromai

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthew Darling

67th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andreas Jacobsen (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Steve BRIQUET (Oldhim) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Eduard Cziszter (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mantas Ptakauskas (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs filippo pirazzoli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Vaclav Muller (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Barry Buchanan

74th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Maximilian Reichl (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Luzian Kolb (Nuu) - Expected: 77:23

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Emad Kashy (Kano) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Christian Fichtner (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Niklas Jansson (Briar) - Expected: 48:52

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Nuu	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.09
R3	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.52
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.93
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Felix Schniz

79th • 2-5-1

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Neller (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lewis Day (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Draw vs Max Moser (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Vaclav Muller (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs James Thourgood (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Draw	✗	0.24	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.34
R7	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-

Dennis Ferber

81st • 2-6-0

50%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs simon haesaerts (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Miguel Angel Segovia Polo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Salah (Lexi) - Expected: 52:48

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Vaclav Muller (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tim Greenaway (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.45

Dennis Dalinghaus

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Gary White (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Makowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs James Thourgood (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 73:27

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.38
R6	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.45

Leo Reichl

dropped • 3-3-0

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.9

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs arthur conot (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Kano) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Piero Carini (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs August Rokkanen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	0.45
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.93
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Win	✗	0.83	2.55

Kevin Haidl

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kano) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Michal Řezníček (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Kano) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jennifer Buchanan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Silver Age	Kano	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.11
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kinga Piper Balázs

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mehdy Draoui (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andreas Guetz (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Max Moser (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Antonia Reichl (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.76	1.24
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Robert Szura

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Peszlen Zoltán (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Finn Baird (Fai) - Expected: 52:48

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Elliott Chacksfield (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	Silver Age	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Alessandro Mazzega

dropped • 0-4-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Iyslander) - Expected: 42:58

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dührkop (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Antonia Reichl (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.