Kayo at Showdown: Toulouse 2026

Kayo

45 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sammy Weckx

1st • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Adrien Bersier (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Machi C (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Loreau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Brown (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Lebec (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.79
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Angelo Zaccardi

3rd • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Thomas Peytavy (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.73
R8	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Clements

3rd • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eloi Meens ()

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mathieu Isorce (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Geoffroy Lafontaine (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.17

Xavier Aubert

5th • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Peytavy (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ethan Moraine (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas ROUBINET (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.52
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Samed Demir

5th • 6-3-0

89%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Florian Bouteyron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nicolas ROUBINET (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.34
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Bastien LAVIGNON

10th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marc Germond (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Tom Cizabuiroz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.63
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Frederik Pedersen

13th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Giuliano (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Jeannot (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michael Jaszczur

15th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Bourgogne (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Théo Lamour (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Axel Jan Mahamad (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Demetrio Bori (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.35
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Francesco D'Amendola

16th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Demetrio Bori (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mark Henderson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alexandre MENAGE (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nicolas ROUBINET (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.32
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Daniel Li

19th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mickael LEFEBVRE (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Michael Gut (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mark Henderson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Leonardo Giuliano (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Emmanuel Boissard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Natan Tomeo

20th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Antoine Muller (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Geoffrey Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Marc Germond (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Philippe DURET (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Corentin Guillemot (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Stefania Anitei (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.18
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Matthew Brown

25th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Michael Gut (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.59
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.02
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Vincent Loreau

28th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Guillaume Ricros (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Urs Riedweg (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Peytavy (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Damien ROUBINET (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.39
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Ernesto Silva

29th • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mathieu LAGUERRE (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas BROSSE (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Thomas PIROTH (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.50
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thorbjørn Lind Jensen

31st • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mickael LEFEBVRE (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Noa Loisy (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Cyril LEROUX (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tom Cizabuiroz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.08
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lasnier Richard

33rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Pierrick Dubos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Corentin Guillemot (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Geoffroy Lafontaine (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Peytavy (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Declan Patrick (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniele Frattarelli

35th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Xavier laperrouze (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Maxime Andreau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Silver Age	Nuu	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.28

Emmanuel Boissard

37th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Eric Lohéac (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Florian Grabenstein (Rhinar) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Quentin Aubel (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.50
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Baptiste Schmittlin

43rd • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Stephane GANGLOFF (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Clément Py (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Théo Lamour (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Renaud Bourgogne (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas PIROTH (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Louis Angilbert (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs issane houachem (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Mathieu Isorce (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R6	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.59
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Stephane GANGLOFF

46th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jānis Liepiņš-Keišs (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Quentin Aubel (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Declan Patrick (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Emmanuel Boissard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mathieu Isorce

51st • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Geoffrey Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Florian Escande (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Portal (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tom Cizabuiroz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.09
R4	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.63
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

remy Reynaud

54th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thibault Taccone (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alexandre MARTINS (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Clément Py (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Xavier laperrouze (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.19
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.75
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tom Cizabuiroz

57th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Anthony Jeannot (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Xavier laperrouze (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mathieu Isorce (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Pierrick Dubos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Viktor Nelipovich

62nd • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Eric Lohéac (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs mickael assemat (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nabil Amri (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.24
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Faustin Falissard

65th • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Corto Bastien (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Loreau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Antoine Pech (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Leonardo Giuliano (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Damien LASSARA (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.76
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.82
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Pierrick Dubos

67th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Demetrio Bori (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Theo Mussy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tom Cizabuiroz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.25
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.15
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Nuu	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nuno Amaral (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.16
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Manuel Wachouschek

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Pierre Rebeyrol (Lexi) - Expected: 67:33

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Sherish Chowhari (Azalea) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Hugo Severin (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Maxime Andreau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Richard Carr (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Azalea	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.11
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Antoine Delaval

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

75:25

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Clément Py (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Antoine Muller (Olympia) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hugo Severin (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.05
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Nabil Amri

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Moraine (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Antoine Pech (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Bourgogne (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Geoffrey Chen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Corto Bastien (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.87
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexandre MENAGE

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Alexandre MARTINS (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mikael GARCIA (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Clément Py (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.37

Mark Henderson

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs steve thiebaut (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Nabil Amri (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Valin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Richard Carr (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.85
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Maxime Andreau

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Stefania Anitei (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.04
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.66
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

steve thiebaut

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Dario Olibet (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Philippe DURET (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Damien LASSARA (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Hugo Severin (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Damien ROUBINET (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R5	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.78
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Geoffrey Chen

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mathieu Isorce (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs None ()

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs mickael assemat (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nabil Amri (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dario Olibet (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67

Anthony Jeannot

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Cizabuiroz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.70
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Stefan Karlsson

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Yves Garcia (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Franco (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cyril LEROUX (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Yohann Jouanny (Nuu) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Silver Age	Nuu	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.22
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Michael Feng

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Damien LASSARA (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Elliot Bessède (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robert Szary (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.23
R2	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paul van Gijssel

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.07
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Théo Lamour

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mikael GARCIA (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Gut

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Antoine Cordier

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Damien ROUBINET (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dario Olibet (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-

Jason Rolfe

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Carr (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Gut (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robert Catling

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Steve BRIQUET (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Adrien Bersier (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Renaud Bourgogne (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Matteo Blasi

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Léo Baty (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Jeannot (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.