Dorinthea at Showdown: Toulouse 2026

Dorinthea

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeremy Miller

22nd • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Axel Jan Mahamad (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Emmanuel Boissard (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Elliot Bessède (Fai) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

80:20

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Steve BRIQUET (Vynnset) - Expected: 80:20

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Peytavy (Florian) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.48
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.20
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.09
R7	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Stéphane Russo

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Lexi) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Maxime Andreau (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs remy Reynaud (Kayo) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Valin (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jānis Liepiņš-Keišs (Florian) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

therry HOMEDES

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Robert Szary (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

80:20

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Corto Bastien (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Iyslander) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Paul Barthonnet (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	80%	Loss	✓	0.81	-
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.