Showdown: Toulouse 2026 - Lexi (SAGE)

Lexi

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Demetrio Bori

36th • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Pierrick Dubos (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jānis Liepiņš-Keišs (Florian) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs issane houachem (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ethan Moraine (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Stefan Dyjak (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.28
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Gaël Dorckel

44th • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Joris Masson (Florian) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Clément Mazeau (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Thibault Taccone (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jānis Liepiņš-Keišs (Florian) - Expected: 60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Stefania Anitei (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.54
R6	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Saguer Olivier

64th • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None ()

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Stéphane Russo (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Angilbert (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Antoine Muller (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Iyslander) - Expected: 77:23

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joris Masson (Florian) - Expected: 60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Silver Age	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.64
R8	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pierre Rebeyrol

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Patrycjusz Janas (Oldhim) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jules Lefrère (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Léo Solivérès (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Win	✗	0.86	1.43
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.47

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.