Dromai at Showdown: Toulouse 2026

Dromai

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maximilian Bültel

56th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Maxime Andreau (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Gaël Dorckel (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Corto Bastien (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 31:69

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pierrick Dubos (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hugo Severin (Florian) - Expected: 68:32

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Steve BRIQUET (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

5:95

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 6:94

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R2	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R6	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.41
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-

Corentin Guillemot

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Muntwyler (Florian) - Expected: 68:32

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Lasnier Richard (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Antoine Muller (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Antoine Delaval (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory

15:85

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Win	✗	0.84	1.53
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Escande

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs issane houachem (Fai) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Adrien Saussey (Fai) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Mathieu Isorce (Kayo) - Expected: 16:84

15:85

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs YOAN RONDINEAU (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.66
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.