Olympia
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
60th • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Lebec (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Corentin Guillemot (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Saguer Olivier (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Antoine Delaval (Kayo) - Expected: 54:46
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Corto Bastien (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.