Showdown: Toulouse 2026 - Iyslander (SAGE)

Iyslander

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Adrien Bersier

42nd • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Robert Catling (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Steve BRIQUET (Vynnset) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Joris Masson (Florian) - Expected: 76:24

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Antoine Delaval (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs mickael assemat (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Rony MOYAL (Florian) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.20
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.72
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.39

Xavier laperrouze

59th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alexandre MARTINS (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Philippe DURET (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Cizabuiroz (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs YOAN RONDINEAU (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs remy Reynaud (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs issane houachem (Fai) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.51

Vincent Fasquel

80th • 1-7-0

75%

Meta

-3.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Axel Jan Mahamad (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs therry HOMEDES (Dorinthea) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Bourgogne (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Clément Mazeau (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 62:38

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Saguer Olivier (Lexi) - Expected: 23:77

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Lohéac (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Thibault Taccone (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.44
R6	Silver Age	Lexi	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R7	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Edouard Verrier

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bidinger Mikael (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Emile Simon (Fai) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Saussey (Fai) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Alexandre MARTINS

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier laperrouze (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre MENAGE (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs remy Reynaud (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.