Azalea at Showdown: Toulouse 2026

Azalea

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eric Lohéac

77th • 2-6-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Emmanuel Boissard (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Martynas Norbutas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Léo Solivérès (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None ()

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Viktor Nelipovich (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Clément Mazeau (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Paul SEBBAN (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas PIROTH

dropped • 3-3-0

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mickael ROUSSEL (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.30
R2	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.89
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Win	✗	0.77	1.76
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Sherish Chowhari

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kano) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

25:75

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Tizón Molina (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.43
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.